Fundamental Analysis. This presentation is being issued solely for information purposes. This presentation does not contain all of the information required by a . 𝗣𝗗𝗙 | In the equity market, the process of stock selection for the purchase decision is a complex task as there are many stocks available in the. PDF | 50+ minutes read | Every investor is advised to have enough knowledge Analysis of capital market can be done either by Fundamental.

Author: | VADA WICKLIN |

Language: | English, Spanish, Japanese |

Country: | Sudan |

Genre: | Technology |

Pages: | 124 |

Published (Last): | 28.07.2016 |

ISBN: | 275-1-48347-953-5 |

ePub File Size: | 20.56 MB |

PDF File Size: | 12.64 MB |

Distribution: | Free* [*Regsitration Required] |

Downloads: | 38392 |

Uploaded by: | ALAYNA |

Using Fundamental Analysis to Examine Value Stocks. Long-Term. Investor. Track. Investor. Education. Conference. 2. PAT MULLALY. Education Coach . Fundamental Structural Analysis Equilibrium Analysis and Determinacy of Structures chapter 2: tOOls Of thE tradE: fundamental analysis and yet the most . 8) Fundamental Analysis: The Balance Sheet. 9) Fundamental Analysis: The Cash Flow Statement. 10) Fundamental Analysis: A Brief Introduction To Valuation.

Lo, H. If it is troublesome to 9. The second period; forecast period of the estimated those values forecasted values with the corresponding values Panel 2 - Prediction: Since , he has been a lecturer with Business [12] F. Li, "Technical and fundamental trading in the Chinese stock market: Analysis Model.

The First Period; starts from until , in order to estimate the forecasting model. In the first group of the industrial sectors such as: As for based on Fung, et al.

Where Pi,t express the expected closing stock price for Finally, Cohen, et al. The test t. In a contrast to Bettman, it's shown as: The study results concluded that both previously calculated, Pi,t-1 expresses the previous annual methodologies provided statistical and economical stock price of company i at the end of period t This is consistent with the findings of the Neely, et al. Methodology and Models propose the following regression model as: Emprical Study models are predictable.

R-squared which equals In order overcome a wide range of problems for the Fundamental Analysis Model. Moreover this table i. Homgeneity, Multicollinearity, and Biases. We find that dividing the study period into two Panels: The second period; forecast period of the estimated those values forecasted values with the corresponding values Panel 2 - Prediction: Then, is followed values Actual Values , to determine which of the two by a comparison between the forecasted value estimated models is more credible.

Is the forecasted value using the fundamental analysis technique by model 1 close to the market value b The Foreccasting Period actual value , or the forecasted value using the technical analysis technique by model 3 nearer to the market value for the share?

This is shown as follows: Consequently, it becomes clear This period shows testing and estimating two models through table II for each model as follows: R-squared 0.

Sum squared residual Analysis 0. This indicates the Firstly, the results of Table I show the results of F- decrease in errors resulting from the estimated values Stat. Table III near to Zero , if compared with that result from the shows the statistical indicators which show the potential of Fundamental Analysis which equals 0. This shows that the models to forecast and which produce two models for the forecasted values are becoming near to the actual values forecasting the future values Returns.

So we rejected hypothesis 1. Intercept 0. On the other side, this table shows better results in favor of the Technical Analysis where this technique is superior over the Fundamental Analysis technique in terms of the Adj. Which equals That means a relative difference in favor of the Technical Analysis. In addition to 2 The Second Hypothesis other statistical indicators, such as: To verify this, we followed the same methodology model Model These results show the initial superiority of Therefore, we see that it is possible to divide the study the Technical Analysis Model over the Fundamental period into two periods i.

Two Panels. The First Period: Analysis Model.

This is the test period and estimation of the forecast model; Panel 1 - Estimation: The Second Period: This is the forecast period of the estimated values; Panel 2 - Prediction: This is followed by the comparison between the forecasted values estimated and the market values Actual , to answer the following question: Is the forecasted value using the fundamental analysis technique by model 2 close to the market value actual value , or the forecasted value using the technical analysis technique by model 4 nearer to the market value for the share?

Period included: Cross-sections included: Findings and Conclusion Bias Proportion 0. Variance Proportion 0. We find that its value for the Fundamental Analysis Model B. The Credibility of the results of the Technical equals 0. It is considered much less Analysis Method in forecasting the future stock compared to the Technical Analysis Model whose results returns compared to the results of forecasting using give measures which are 0.

So it is the Fundamental Analysis Method. As well as in The Bias Analysis Method in its ability to forecast the future value of Proportion stated in Table IV shows that the bias the share prices or returns , it also matched the previous proportions are almost equal for each model. In Table IV , we find that the variance value of the share prices or returns - as expressed by the proportion resulted from using the Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis concept - There are due many reasons equals 0.

Scarcity of information and its financial efficiency, the equals 0. This shows the credibility of using the consequence of non-presence of financial efficiency in Technical Analysis Method over the Fundamental Analysis. This agrees with many studies which were applied in the Egyptian Market Based on all what presented above, we can conclude that such as [21].

Large variations in the issue of reports and financial Analysis results and the Fundamental Analysis results statements about the financial companies listed in the concerning the stock return in favor of the Technical Egyptian Stock Exchange, and a delay in making that Analysis. So we rejected hypothesis 2. This can be information available for all investors and illustrated by the Fig.

The influence of the non-economic reasons political, Evaluation Standard , is referred to the Symbol R , at each social, behavior, ….

This reason is seen as the consequence of the theoretical study, whose influence is reflected on the results of the current applied study. Bettman, J.

Sault, , and L. Technical analysis: Substitutes or complements?

Oberlerchner, "Importance of technical and fundamental analysis in the European foreign exchange market," International Journal of [2] B. Blatagi, "Econometric Analysis of Panel Data," 3rd ed.. Wiley and Sons, Ltd, West Sussex, Pai, and S.

Brooks, "Introductory Econometrics for Finance," 2nd ed. Ragab, and M. Chung, and J. Kim, "A structured financial statement analysis and the direct prediction of stock prices in Kore," Asia [22] C. Wiley andSons Inc, Cohen, A. Kudryavtsev, and S. Hon, "Stock market analysis in [23] C. Venkatesh, and M. Tyagi, "Fundamental analysis as a method of practice: ISIT technical or fundamental? Research Publication Journal, Vol.

Edwards, and J. A relatively price. In this case, the lower the number the less you higher than what the company's asset would be sold for pay for each unit of future earnings growth. So, even a stock today. The company has the choice of paying out all of of 8.

This could prove to be an expensive investment. However, it is usually expected One of the ways you define value is market capitalization or that a good company regularly pay a consistent dividend to how much money would you need to buy every single share the investors. It is assets and dividing the result by the number of shares essential to check if the dividends were paid from the current outstanding.

A company which is subject to interpretation. Growing companies will typically expected to perform well would have a share price higher retain more profits to fund growth and pay lower or no than its NAV per share. A struggling firm will trade at a dividends whereas, the company with flat growth or the discount to NAV; implying that shareholders are pessimistic company having no profitable project at hand may distribute about the future of the company and have started to sell all or most of its profits as dividend to the shareholders.

But, in case of mutual funds and investment funds, the 8. Dividend Yield: Investors can normally The dividend yield is the yield that a company pays out to its find the net asset value in the balance sheet.

You can also shareholders in the form of dividends. It is a financial ratio find it in DSE website or its publications.

It can be calculated as the stock. But stocks having relatively higher yields. High dividends are this does not always hold true. Investors should consider the attractive but they are a representation of past payouts. We should keep fluctuating share prices. However, matured, well-established in mind that shareholding pattern in isolation is not sufficient companies that have already grown significantly, tend to enough to take any investment decision.

You must have to have higher dividend yield, while the young, growth-oriented consider other factors along with shareholding pattern. Now the Now the time for analysis: You will find most Perhaps, the shareholders are more concerned with capital of those data in ready form from DSE website, DSE gains rather than the dividend they will receive.

If it is troublesome to 9. Cash Flows: You cannot outstanding shares. Net cash flow per share helps compare stocks between financial and manufacturing determining a company's ability to service debt, pay for sectors. After collecting data, you have to rank companies on goods and services they use, pay dividends and perform the basis of the aforementioned fundamental factors.

Pick other transactions. A high cash earnings per share coupled those companies for portfolio that rank top in most of the with a low share price indicates that the company likely has factors. However, your portfolio should cover each vibrant strong earnings and that the share price will soon rise.

Whenever you pick stocks for your portfolio, you should easily than cash flow can. If a company announces BDT 5 cash consider this think very cautiously. Another without borrowing from banks or other sources which is not important suggestion is that as a new investor you should not expectable.

Hence, value. However in the short run a stock might have great investors should be cautious in this regard. This can be Share Holding Pattern: